$1,764. That’s the demarcation price for gold‘s move into the next phase of the bull market, the third and most exciting phase, characterized by widespread participation by the mainstream investor, according to Jim Sinclair.
As one of the world’s foremost “scholars” on the subject of gold and money, Sinclair believes the long-awaited awakening of the retail investor to the dollar endgame lies just ahead.
Phase 2 of the gold bull, he said, began at $524.90, and has now ended.
“$1764 has the same significance as $524.90 because it represents phase 3, the point when a runaway price market for gold would gain exponential properties,” stated Sinclair, on his Web site, JSMineset.com.
Anecdotal evidence of increased traffic at bullion dealers in the U.S. have been streaming in, as investors there already see the handwriting on the wall for the dollar, and want to front-run a replay of 1979.
Certainly, in Europe, the reports of periodic bank runs in Greece, Ireland, Spain and Italy (with the latter two through electronic withdrawals) have been well-reported since 2010, leaving Americans anxious for refuge as the back-end of the eye of the currency storm reaches the shores of the U.S.
So far, the assets of choice at this stage of the global financial crisis have been deep government paper markets, the Swiss franc, yen and gold, with most of the scared money presumably bypassing reasonable (and not so reasonable) facsimiles of money, and moving straight into gold.
“Some of the finest minds in gold anticipate a very short but brutal reaction in price,” added Sinclair. “The dollar market seems to not agree with a gold correction here.”
“Market wise, the Fed has thrown the U.S. dollar into the wind. Under .7400, the dollar denies a reaction in gold at these levels.”
Sinclair’s $1,764 marker for the price of gold is a key point in the bull market, he has repeatedly stated over the years. That is the price where the most dramatic devaluation of the dollar begins, with a target north of $10,000 per ounce as a projected peak price for the metal, following the final months of the predictable mania period of phase 3—a phase much similar to the 100% move in the Nasdaq during the last six months of the tech bubble of 1999. But, first, the fight for entry into phase 3 rages on before the real fun begins for holders of gold, according to Sinclair.
“Because $1,764 is such a significant number, you can expect one of the more serious price battles before the price departs to Alf Fields’ and Armstrong’s predictions,” he stated, referring to five-digit projections for the gold price from fellow hard-money advocates, Alf Fields and Martin Armstrong.
With price targets above $10,000, $1,764 gold is a screaming buy, according to the JSMineset think tank.
“To sum up the situation, you haven’t seen anything yet,” exclaimed Sinclair.
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