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Guyana Gold Corp. (OTC: GYGC) |
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Guyana
Gold Corp.
3960 Howard Hughes Pkwy. Suite
500
Las Vegas, NV 89169
(702)990-3566 - main
(702)999-3501 - fax
This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it
www.guyanagoldcorp.com |
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Market
Data: |
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Symbol
/ Exchange
Coverage Initiated
Current Price
Rating
Price Target
Outstanding Shares
Market Cap.
Average Volume |
OTC
PK: GYGC
June 25th, 2008
$0.36
Speculative Buy
$1.50
165,000
$59,400
179,638
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| Company
Overview |
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Guyana Gold Corp. (Pink Sheets: GYGC) is a junior mineral exploration
company focused on gold mining operations in the Latin American
nation of Guyana. The Company identifies, acquires and develops
precious and base metal properties, and assesses the commercial
viability of new discoveries. GYGC recently announced a joint venture
proposal with its partner, Octagon Mining Corp., to acquire additional
gold claims in the Barima-Waini region of Guyana. GYGC also announced
its plans to further develop its Port Kaituma gold project, which
is also located in Guyana. The Port Kaituma property is currently
producing about 100 ounces of gold per month; and equipment has
been purchased, which will likely increase production to around
250 ounces per month. In June 2008, GYGC announced the close of
an equity private placement that raised $500,000 in new capital,
which will be used to fund the Company's operations in Guyana, including,
but not limited to, drilling and exploration, the purchase of additional
mining properties, entering into new joint ventures, increasing
production and sampling.
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| Investment
Highlights |
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Gold claims in producing regions of Guyana
The Company is increasing its presence in areas of Guyana that
have an established track record for gold discoveries and commercial
production. Guyana is situated on the mineral rich Guyana Shield,
an area which has attracted some of the world's largest mining companies.
Mining is a major component of the Guyanese economy, contributing
more than 10 percent of GDP and about 40 percent of exports. The
Guyana Gold Board's (GGB) liberal policies regarding exports, licensing
and mining creates a favorable climate for outsiders investing in
Guyanese mining operations.
Joint venture to further develop Port
Kaituma Project
GYGC's proposed joint venture with Octagon Mining Corp. to further
develop the Port Kaituma project will expand the Company's land
position, create operating synergies, increase revenue opportunities,
accelerate the recovery of capital costs and extend mine life. Octagon
has also submitted an application to the Guyana Gold Mine Commission
to acquire additional gold claims in the Barima-Waini region. This
proposed acquisition may prove strategically important for both
partners since it encompasses a large area geologically similar
to the already producing Port Kaituma region. If the acquisition
closes, GYGC would control 572 mining claims covering approximately
13,637 acres in 13 blocks.
Port Kaituma production will double next
year
In June 2008, the Company announced the purchase of underground
mining equipment by its joint venture partner, Octagon. The new
equipment will enable an increase in monthly gold production from
the current 100 ounces to approximately 250 ounces. At conservative
$600 per ounce gold prices, the value of monthly production rises
from $60,000 to $150,000.
GYGC benefits from soaring gold prices
Rising demand for gold in industrial and investment applications
has fueled a steep rise in gold prices from around $600 per ounce
in 2006 to $700 per ounce in 2007, and a record $1,000 an ounce
in March 2008. Gold demand by exchange traded fund investors has
risen more than 100 percent this year. Merrill Lynch recently raised
its outlook for gold prices, and expects prices to average $925/oz.
in 2008 and $1,000/oz. in 2009.
$500,000 capital infusion helps fund 2008
business plan
GYGC recently closed an equity private placement that generated
net proceeds of $500,000. The proceeds will be used to help fund
the Company's operations in Guyana, including its drilling and exploration
activities, and will assist in the financing of the purchase of
additional mining properties and joint ventures. In addition, the
Company is pursuing a co-listing for its shares on the Frankfurt
Stock Exchange. A listing on a major European exchange would improve
the Company's access to capital, help attract additional institutional
and private investors and enhance GYGC's visibility in the marketplace
and share liquidity.
Experienced management team
Eduard Arnov, GYGC's president, has extensive experience in natural
resource project financing and investment banking. Moreover, his
knowledge of Guyanese geology and prior involvement in Guyana mining
operations since March 2000, provide an added advantage. Gordon
Nestor, GYGC's project manager and lead geologist, has served as
a geotechnician and senior geologist for the Guyana Geology and
Mines Commission.
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| Business
Strategy |
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$ 226 billion global nutrition industry
The Company plans to develop a balanced global portfolio of early-to-advanced
stage mining projects through exploration, acquisitions and joint
ventures. In June 2008, GYGC announced a proposal for a joint venture
from its partner Octagon Mining Corp. to further develop the Port
Kaituma Project. The joint venture will increase the Company's land
position and increase the scale of the Port Kaituma Project. This
operation is currently producing around 100 ounces of gold per month,
and equipment has been purchased, which will increase production
to 250 ounces per month. In addition, the Company plans to build
a modern processing facility at this site which will greatly increase
gold recovery rates.
GYGC also recently announced that its joint venture partner Octagon
submitted an application to the Guyana Gold Mine Commission to acquire
additional gold claims in the Barima-Waini region. The claims it
hopes to acquire consist of seven blocks, with each block consisting
of 44 claims, for a total of 308 claims. Combined with the Company's
existing holdings, this would increase GYGC's land position to a
total of 572 mining claims covering about 13,637 acres in 13 blocks.
The Barima-Waini region is geologically similar to the Port Kaituma
region, which is already producing gold in commercial quantities.
The table below shows the Company's land position, assuming the
Barima-Waini land acquisition closes.
Exhibit1: GYGC mining
properties

Source: Company website,
Business Week
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| Growth
Strategy |
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GYGC is currently focused on gold projects in the Caribbean. In
Guyana, the Company's key mineral project is located in the region
of Port Kaituma. The Company plans to grow through exploration and
drilling activities, acquiring additional mineral properties and
forming joint ventures. GYGC recently announced a proposed joint
venture to further develop the Port Kaituma Project that presents
excellent opportunities to increase revenues and production, extend
the mine life, and accelerate the capital recovery costs of modernizing
the Port Kaituma mine. This project is currently producing 100 ounces
of gold per month; production is expected to rise to 250 ounces
per month following the installation of new equipment.
The Company recently raised $500,000 through an equity private
placement, which will be used to fund its mining operations in Guyana.
In addition, management believes the European markets offer excellent
fund-raising opportunities for North American junior mineral exploration
companies. Accordingly, GYGC is pursuing a listing for its shares
on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. In addition to improving access
to financing, a major European exchange listing will help the Company
attract new institutional and private investors, enhance GYGC's
visibility in the marketplace and improve share liquidity.
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| Guyanese
Gold Mining Industry |
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Exhibit 2: Guyana
real GDP growth

Source: Bureau of
Statistics & Ministry of Finance (Guyana) & IMF
Exhibit 3: Guyana
mining segment

Source: Bureau of
Statistics (Guyana)
Guyana is an emerging economy with vast, untapped
mineral potential. This country's real GDP growth increased from
5.1 percent in 2006 to 5.4 percent in 2007, and is forecast at 4.6
percent in 2008. The Guyanese economy is growing because of stable
macroeconomic policies, favorable business conditions, and attractive
incentives for outside investment, which include a uniform corporate
tax code that doesn't discriminate against foreigners. Mining is
a prominent segment of the Guyanese economy, accounting for over
10 percent of Guyana's GDP and about 40 percent of exports.

In the mining and exploration industry, the government
is pursuing significant new investments (particularly in gold and
bauxite mining) that can improve operating efficiency and mine productivity.
To accomplish this goal, the Guyanese government has created a system
based on royalties and fiscal incentives to enhance the attractiveness
of mineral exploration and production projects. In 2007, the Guyana
Gold Board (GGB) recorded record gold production volume of 240,000
ounces of gold, up 16 percent compared to 2006. The GGB also granted
licenses to certain dealers to pursue private purchases and export,
which led to exports of 6,900 ounces of gold valued at $4.3 million.
Guyana's mining industry has attracted many of the
world's largest mining companies. Recent significant gold discoveries
by Guyana Goldfields Inc., Strata Gold Corp., and Sacre-Coeur Minerals
Ltd., along with a major exploration presence in the country by
Newmont Mining, have placed Guyana to the forefront of the gold
exploration sector. The main mineral interests in Guyana are gold,
diamond and bauxite and, recently, semi-precious stones.
The country is located in the heart of a prolific
gold region called the Guiana Shield, which also encompasses parts
of Venezuela, Suriname and French Guiana. Geologically, this is
believed to be the broken-off extension of the West African Shield
hosting the Birimian gold belt in Ghana where at least 100 million
ounces of gold has been identified to date.
Guyana's untapped gold resources are estimated to
exceed one million ounces. Rising gold prices are encouraging mining
operations in areas of Guyana where production was not previously
commercially viable.
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| Outlook
for Gold Prices |
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Gold is one of the few metals that, irrespective of its form, retains
its high value and has multiple uses in the global economy. Gold
is used as jewelry, as an input in the industrial and technology
sectors, in dentistry and is purchased by investors as a hedge against
inflation.
In 2007, global demand for gold increased 3.3 percent to 3,516
tons. The value of demand rose 19.7 percent to $79.25 billion. Gold
prices jumped 31.8 percent in 2007 to $836.15/oz., and crossed the
$1,000/oz. mark in 2008.
Exhibit 4: Identifiable
gold demand in tons

Source:World Gold
Council
Exhibit 5: Gold prices
(1999-07)

Source: Thomson Financial
Data
Following robust growth last year, global gold demand
declined in the first quarter of 2008, reflecting significantly
higher gold prices and unusually high price volatility. Gold prices
have already reached $1,000/oz. this year, and demand is expected
to remain strong due to the proliferation of gold-based exchange
traded funds. Merrill Lynch recently raised its outlook for gold
prices and expects prices to average $925/oz. in 2008 and $1,000/oz.
in 2009.
During the 2008 first quarter, jewelry demand declined
while demand for gold exchange traded funds (ETFs) increased 100
percent year-over-year to 73 tons. Investment demand for gold reflects
the instability of world equity markets, ongoing inflation fears,
the weak dollar, and increased respect for gold's investment attributes.
As a percentage of total gold demand, exchange traded funds have
increased from 7 percent in 2006 to 10 percent in the first quarter
of 2008; further gains are anticipated.
Exhibit 6: Composition
of gold demand

Source: World Gold
Council
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| Competitive
Analysis |
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GYGC competes for properties, financing, workers and other resources
with other gold mining companies operating in South America, several
of which are described below:
Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE: NEM)
Newmont Mining Corp. produces gold and copper from mining operations
in the United States, Australia, Peru, Indonesia, Ghana, Canada,
Bolivia, New Zealand and Mexico. The company also has exploration
and merchant banking operations. It has proven or probable gold
reserves of approximately 93.9 million ounces, and an aggregate
land position of approximately 44,470 square miles (115,200 square
kilometers).
Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE: ABX)
Barrick Gold Corp. is a gold and copper mining company. It sells
gold bullion in the gold spot market, gold and copper concentrate
to independent smelting companies, and copper cathodes through various
sales contracts to third parties. The company operates in North
America, South America, Australia Pacific and Africa. North America
is the company's largest production area, representing approximately
46 million ounces of proven and probable gold reserves and 15 million
ounces of measured and indicated resources.
IAMGOLD Corporation (NYSE: IAG)
IAMGOLD Corp. explores for mineral resources around the world.
The company receives royalty payments through various operations
that produce gold and diamonds. The company's principal holdings
include a 38 percent stake in the Sadiola mine; a 40 percent stake
in the Yatela mine; a 50 percent interest in Sadiola Exploration
Limited; an 18.9 percent interest in Gold Fields Ghana Limited;
an 18.9 percent interest in Abosso Goldfields Limited; a 100 percent
interest in the Quimsacocha project; and a 75-80 percent interest
in the Buckreef Project. The company earns a 1 percent royalty on
income generated from its Diavik diamond property located in Canada's
Northwest Territories. It also earns royalties from exploration
properties in West Africa and South America.
International Minerals Corporation (CA:
IMZ)
International Minerals Corp. explores for and develops gold and
silver deposits in South America, primarily in Ecuador and Peru.
The company's principal mineral properties include the Rio Blanco
property (a gold-silver project in Ecuador), the Gaby gold deposit
in southwestern Ecuador, and the Canicapa gold property located
in the Loja Province of southern Ecuador.
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| Financial
Record and Profitability Outlook |
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Prior to 2008, GYGC was a development-stage business with no operations
or revenues. The Company recorded expenses totaling $50,200, and
a $50,200 net loss in 2007. On March 1, 2008, GYGC and Octagon Mining
Corp. entered into a joint venture agreement in which the Company
acquired a 50 percent working interest in certain mineral projects
in Guyana. The terms of the joint venture require Octagon Mining
to be responsible for the mining operations, and for GYGC to provide
assistance in expanding the Port Kaituma operation. Per the agreement,
the Company acquired its 50 percent working interest in exchange
for one million shares of Company common stock valued at 50 cents
per share.
In 2008, GYGC secured $500,000 in new funding for its mining projects
in Guyana and received a new proposal from Octagon that expands
the Company's land position and increases the scale of the Port
Kaituma Project. New equipment has been purchased, which will increase
project gold production from the current 100 ounces per month, to
250 ounces per month. Additionally, GYGC has plans to build a modern
processing facility at Port Kaiituma that would further increase
gold recovery rates. The joint venture has also submitted an application
to acquire additional gold claims in the Barima-Waini region of
Guyana which is geologically similar to the already producing Port
Kaituma gold properties.
Based on current gold production averaging around 100 oz. per month,
we expect the joint venture to produce 1,200 ounces. of gold in
2008. GYGC's share of the production will be approximately 600 ounces.
At conservative $500/oz. gold prices, we estimate the Company's
2008 revenues in a $300,000 range.
We anticipate production will climb to at least 250 ounces per
month in 2009. GYGC's share of this annual production will be approximately
at 1,500 ounces. Assuming $600/oz. gold prices, we forecast the
Company's 2009 revenues will fall in a $900,000 range. Thereafter,
we expect the Company's revenues to grow at least 20 percent annually
over the next five years as a result of production gains at Port
Kaituma and successful exploration efforts at soon-to-be-acquired
Barima-Waini gold claims.
GYGC's operating costs are modest, estimated to total
only $490,000 this year. As a result, we expect the Company to turn
profitable in 2009.
Valuation analysis
Exhibit 7: Peer valuation
(Price as of June 23, 2008)

Source: Reuters
GYGC's peers were recently trading at forward Price/Sales multiples
ranging between 6.7 times and 2.2 times revenues. We think GYGC
should be valued at the higher end of the peer group range due to
its established gold production and suggest a 5.0 times forward
Price/Sales multiple is appropriate for these shares.
We derive a $1.50 price target for GYGC by multiplying our $0.9
million 2009 revenue estimate by a 5.0 times forward Price/Sales
multiple, then dividing the resulting amount by 3.0 million fully
diluted shares. We expect the share count to increase in 2008 and
2009 due to GYGC's reliance on equity private placements as a source
of capital.
We believe GYGC is well-positioned for consistent double-digit
revenue and earnings growth over the next several years as a result
of steadily rising production from the Company's Port Kaituma joint
venture project, soon-to-be closed gold claim acquisitions and a
lean corporate overhead structure. As a result, we are initiating
coverage of Guyana Gold Corp. with a Speculative Buy rating and
a $1.50 price target. While we believe theCompany's Guyanese gold
properties offer strong mineral potential, we caution prospective
investors to consider the risk factors discussed below before investing.
GYGC must overcome several obstacles, not the least of which is
a need for substantial additional financing, to achieve its business
goals.
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| Risk
Factors |
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Limited operating history
GYGC is still in an early development phase with very limited
operating history; the Company has only recently begun generating
revenues. Although GYGC expects to expand gold production from its
Port Kaituma Project, there is no guarantee that production gains
will be realized or that the Company's operations will be profitable.
Mining is a risky business with a long
gestation period
Mineral exploration is a risky business and has a long gestation
period. Very few explored properties become viable producing mines.
Transitioning a property from exploration to production stage can
require several years and millions of dollars in investment.
Competition for mining properties and
other resources
GYGC must compete for property acquisitions and funding with other
mining companies. Many of these competitors have more resources,
better access to financing and established track records indicating
successful exploration efforts.
Political and environmental factors
At present, the Guyanese government welcomes outside investment
in its mining industry but this could change in the future. If the
political and investment climate in Guyana changes, the Company's
operating costs could rise, adversely impacting GYGC's future revenues
and profitability.
Uncertainty regarding future gold prices
Gold prices have reached record levels in recent years and are
expected to remain high for the foreseeable future. If gold prices
decline significantly, however, GYGC may see the value of its mine
production drop, resulting in lower revenues and reduced profits.
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| Management |
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Eduard Aronov
President |
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Eduard Arnov became president of GYGC in
February 2008, and brings to the Company many years of experience
in mineral exploration, international finance, investment banking,
natural resource financing and business development. He has been involved
in mining projects in Guyana since March 2000, with responsibilities
for geology and mine operations, consulting and corporate business
development activities. |
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Gordon A. Nestor
Geologist and Project Manager |
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Gordon Nestor recently became the Company's lead geologist and
manager of the Port Kaituma Project. He is a geological engineer
by training with more than 10 years of field experience. He has
held positions as geotechnician for the Guyana Geology and Mines
Commission, research assistant for the Guyana National Science Research
Council, technician at the Institute of Applied Science and Technology
(IAST), research assistant for the Guyana National Science Research
Council, and senior geologist for the Guyana Geology and Mines Commission.
He graduated in 1992 with a Master's of Science in geology from
the Red Banner Geological Prospecting Institute in Moscow, Russia.
He is also certified in geology from the Leningrad Polytechnical
Institute in Russia. Nestor is also an expert linguist, speaking
Guyanese, English, Russian, German, Spanish and French.
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Major SEC investigation of so caled "Jason Fuller" now underway.Where do you stand? Or GYGC?
Vincent Mayock