Be the first to see our New Explosive Stock Pick!

Technical Trading Overview for Cerus Corp. (CERS)

Cerus Corp. (NASDAQ: CERS)

Cerus Corp. (CERS) is a biomedical products company focused on commercializing the INTERCEPT Blood System to enhance blood safety. The INTERCEPT system is designed to inactivate blood-borne pathogens in donated blood components intended for transfusion. The Company markets the INTERCEPT system for both platelets and plasma in Europe and the Middle East. CERS is also pursuing regulatory approvals in the United States and other countries. The INTERCEPT red blood cell system is in clinical development. CERS also has collaboration agreements with Baxter International Inc., BioOne Corp. and Laboratorios Grifols S.A., as well as the United States Armed Forces.

The Company was founded in 1991 and is based in Concord, California.

Share Statistics (17-Nov-09)

FY

2007

FY

2008

%

Chg

Q3 2008

Q3 2009

%

Chg

Symbol

CERS

Revenue, $Mn

11.04M

16.51M

33.1%

3.88M

4.81M

19.3%

Current price

$2.10

Gross marg.

52.7%

41.4%

21.4%

51.5%

66.7%

12.5%

52wk Range:

$0.55-3.57

Oper. margin

-390.9%

-185.0%

52.7%

-194.9%

-125.0%

35.9%

Avg Vol (3m):

1,324,480

Net margin

-411.8%

-177.0%

57.0%

-116.7%

-201.0%

41.9%

Market Cap.

81.3M

Dil. Shares Outst.

38.7M

EPS, $

-1.23

-0.90

26.8%

-0.27

-0.16

40.7%

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Financial Summary

Total revenue for the third quarter of 2009 was $4.8 million, up from $3.9 million in revenue recognized during the third quarter of 2008. Total revenue for the first nine months of 2009 was $12.5 million, down from $12.9 million recognized during the first nine months of 2008, when $1.5 million of previously deferred product revenue was recognized.

Product revenue for the INTERCEPT Blood System was $4.6 million during the third quarter of 2009, representing an increase of $0.7 million, or 18%, from the second quarter of 2009. Third-quarter 2009 product revenue was up $1.5 million from $3.1 million recognized during the third quarter of 2008. Product revenue for the first nine months of 2009 was $11.5 million, down from $12.0 million during the first nine months of 2008, when the $1.5 million of previously deferred product revenue was recognized.

Gross profit from product revenue for the third quarter of 2009 was $0.3 million, down from $1.2 million for the same period in 2008. Cost of product revenue during the third quarter of 2009 included period costs of $1.0 million, representing idle manufacturing facility costs attributable to the Company’s decision to reduce inventory levels.

Total operating expenses for the third quarter of 2009 were $6.6 million, down from $9.6 million for the same period in 2008. The decrease in operating expenses was due to a reduction in research and development expenses and selling, general and administrative expenses associated with the Company’s restructuring plans, which were previously announced in March 2009. Operating expenses for the first nine months of 2009 were $22.6 million, down from $29.5 million during the same period in 2008. The reduction in operating expenses was directly attributable to the savings realized from the Company’s restructuring plan, which allowed the Company to focus its resources on commercializing the INTERCEPT platelet and plasma systems in Europe, reduce operating expenses and tightly manage working capital.

Net loss for the third quarter of 2009 was $5.6 million, or $0.16 per share, compared to a net loss of $7.8 million, or $0.24 per share, for the third quarter of 2008. Net loss for the first nine months of 2009 was $19.2 million, or $0.58 per share, compared to a net loss of $22.7 million, or $0.70 per share for the same period in 2008.

At September 30, 2009, the Company had cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $22.7 million, up from $22.6 million at December 31, 2008. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments at September 30, 2009, reflects the $12.2 million in net proceeds generated from the Company’s August 2009 registered direct public offering. Net cash used for the Company’s operations during the third quarter of 2009 was $2.4 million, which was in line with the net cash used during the second quarter of 2009 and down by $4.8 million from the first quarter of 2009. Close control of working capital, including management of inventory levels and cash collections, contributed to the relatively low net cash used in operating activities.

Financial Strength (17-Nov-2009) Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 1.76 2.72 2.56 0.83
Current Ratio (MRQ) 2.25 3.20 3.06 0.98
Long-Term Debt to Equity(MRQ) 12.27 26.98 131.04
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 15.58 34.79 202.25

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Analyst Consensus

Buy

Outperform

Hold

Underperform

Sell

No Opinion

This is the consensus forecast among two polled investment analysts. Against the Cerus Corp. company.

Analyst Detail

Buy

Outperform

Hold

Underperform

Sell

No Opinion

Latest

1

0

1

0

0

0

4 weeks ago

1

0

2

1

0

0

2 months ago

1

0

2

1

0

0

3 months ago

0

0

3

1

0

0

Last year

1

0

2

0

0

0

The two analysts offering 12-month price targets for CERS have a median target of 4.00, with a high estimate of 5.00 and a low estimate of 3.00. The median estimate represents a 56.25% increase from the last price of 2.56.

Source: www.ft.com

# of Estimates

Mean

High

Low

1 Year
Ago

SALES (in millions)

Quarter Ending Dec-09

2

6.24

6.98

5.50

10.94

Quarter Ending Mar-10

2

6.68

7.37

6.00

11.25

Year Ending Dec-09

2

18.74

19.48

18.00

31.79

Year Ending Dec-10

2

34.43

40.87

28.00

56.64

Earnings (per share)

Quarter Ending Dec-09

2

-0.09

-0.06

-0.11

-0.19

Quarter Ending Mar-10

2

-0.10

-0.09

-0.12

-0.19

Year Ending Dec-09

1

-0.63

-0.63

-0.63

-0.91

Year Ending Dec-10

2

-0.40

-0.34

-0.45

-0.80

Source: http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/estimates?symbol=CERS.W

Investment Highlights

CERS announced today that the FDA’s Blood Products Advisory Committee (BPAC) rendered a positive opinion on the proposed hemostatic efficacy and safety endpoints for a potential U.S. phase III clinical trial of the INTERCEPT Blood System for platelets. The Committee disagreed with the safety margins for the trial proposed by CERS, and recommended that the trial design include more stringent safety margins for comparing INTERCEPT-treated platelets and conventional platelets. In addition, the committee rendered a positive opinion on a proposed pathway forward in which successful completion of the proposed phase III trial would be followed by a post-marketing randomized control study and concurrent staged roll-out of the product. The proposed phase III clinical trial is designed as a randomized, double-blinded, non-inferiority trial to assess the hemostatic efficacy and safety of routine use of INTERCEPT-treated platelets compared to platelets prepared with conventional processes. The proposed primary efficacy endpoint is number of days of Grade 2 bleeding (World Health Organization scale); and the proposed primary safety endpoint is the incidence of acute lung injury (ALI).

CERS announced November 16, 2009, that NASDAQ has halted trading of CERS common stock. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) Blood Products Advisory Committee (BPAC) is meeting November 17 to review and discuss the proposed design for a potential U.S. phase III clinical trial of platelets treated with the Company’s INTERCEPT Blood System. Trading resumed as usual the following day.

Source: http://www.cerus.com/

Technical Analysis

CERS is trading above its 50-day moving average. This is considered to be the sign of a bullish trend. There is added weight to this indication because the moving average is rising and suggests that there has been buying interest in this stock.

CERS is trading within its Bollinger Bands. This is a normal condition and suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold relative to the recent price action.

The MACD for CERS currently indicates a strong bullish signal for two reasons. First, the MACD is above the signal line, a 9-day moving average. Second, the MACD is above 0, which implies that the underlying moving averages are trending higher.

Comparative Analysis

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

Nov-17-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Gen-Probe Inc.

GPRO

42.20

2.06B

24.63

n/a

4.42

n/a

Haemonetics Corp.

HAE

55.62

1.42B

21.99

n/a

2.29

n/a

Pall Corp.

PLL

34.46

4.03B

21.08

n/a

1.75

n/a

Drug Manufacturers Median

44.09

2.50B

22.57

n/a

2.82

n/a

Cerus Corp.

CERS

2.10

81.3M

n/a

n/a

5.55

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARES PURCHSE ACTIVITY

Inside Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Transaction

Purchases

n/a

0

Sales

n/a

0

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

n/a

0

Total Insider Shares Held

3.06M

n/a

% Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

0.0%

n/a

Net Institutional Purchases – Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr

Shares

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

(5,996,280)

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

(480.2%)

Source: Yahoo Finance

Report Disclaimer

DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice.

The information contained in our report should be viewed as commercial advertisement and is not intended to be investment advice. The report is not provided to any particular individual with a view toward their individual circumstances. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Our newsletter and website have been prepared for informational purposes only and are not intended to be used as a complete source of information on any particular company. An individual should never invest in the securities of any of the companies profiled based solely on information contained in our report. Individuals should assume that all information contained in the report about profiled companies is not trustworthy unless verified by their own independent research.

Any individual who chooses to invest in any securities should do so with caution. Investing in securities is speculative and carries a high degree of risk; you may lose some or all of the money that is invested. Always research your own investments and consult with a registered investment advisor or licensed stock broker before investing.

Information contained in our report will contain “forward looking statements” as defined under Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21B of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Subscribers are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon these forward looking statements. These forward looking statements are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties outside of our control that could cause actual operations or results to differ materially from those anticipated. Factors that could affect performance include, but are not limited to, those factors that are discussed in each profiled company’s most recent reports or registration statements filed with the SEC. You should consider these factors in evaluating the forward looking statements included in the report and not place undue reliance upon such statements.

We are committed to providing factual information on the companies that are profiled. However, we do not provide any assurance as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, including information regarding a profiled company’s plans or ability to effect any planned or proposed actions. We have no first-hand knowledge of any profiled company’s operations and therefore cannot comment on their capabilities, intent, resources, nor experience and we make no attempt to do so. Statistical information, dollar amounts, and market size data was provided by the subject company and related sources which we believe to be reliable.

To the fullest extent of the law, we will not be liable to any person or entity for the quality, accuracy, completeness, reliability, or timeliness of the information provided in the report, or for any direct, indirect, consequential, incidental, special or punitive damages that may arise out of the use of information we provide to any person or entity (including, but not limited to, lost profits, loss of opportunities, trading losses, and damages that may result from any inaccuracy or incompleteness of this information).

We encourage you to invest carefully and read investment information available at the websites of the SEC at http://www.sec.gov and FINRA at http://www.finra.org.

Bookmark and Share

Add Your Comment

Copyright Beacon Equity @ 2010

Google Analytics Alternative Clicky

close this