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Technical Trading Overview for Jazz Pharmaceuticals Inc. (JAZZ)

Jazz Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: JAZZ)

Jazz Pharmaceuticals Inc. (JAZZ) engages in the development and commercialization of innovative products in the area of neurology and psychiatry in the United States. The Company’s commercial products include Xyrem for the treatment of narcolepsy symptoms of daytime drowsiness and cataplexy; and Luvox CR for anxiety and obsessive compulsive disorders. The Company’s product candidates presently in clinical trials include: JZP-6 (sodium oxybate) for the treatment of fibromyalgia, in phase III clinical trials; JZP-7 (transdermal ropinirole gel) for the treatment of restless legs syndrome, in phase II clinical trials; JZP-8 (intranasal clonazepam) for the treatment of recurrent acute repetitive seizures, in phase II clinical trials; and JZP-4 (sodium channel antagonist) for the treatment of epilepsy and bipolar disorder, in phase I clinical trials.

Founded in 2003, the Company is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

Share Statistics (28-Oct-09)

FY

2007

FY

2008

%

Chg

Q2 2008

Q2 2009

%

Chg

Symbol

JAZZ

Revenue, $Mn

65.3

67.5

-3.4%

15.5

37.3

141%

Current price

$6.03

Gross marg.

68.3%

75.1%

13.7%

77.4%

64.1%

99.2%

52wk Range:

$0.52- 11.88

Oper. margin

-213%

-252%

22.8%

-304%

21.5%

-117%

Avg Vol (3m):

2,170,620

Net margin

-213%

-273%

32.8%

-335%

5.9%

-104%

Market Cap.

186.76M

Dil. Shares Outst.

29.02M

EPS, $

-4.361

-6.180

41.7%

-2.173

0.075

-103%

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Financial Summary

Financial Strength (28-Oct-2009) Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 0.57 5.68 2.44 0.70
Current Ratio (MRQ) 0.65 6.07 2.95 0.82
Long-Term Debt to Equity(MRQ) 23.14 24.07 77.72
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 27.60 31.75 122.16

Analyst Consensus

The mean of three analysts polled by Thomson Reuters rate shares of JAZZ a “Hold.”

Analyst Recommendations and Revisions

1-5 Linear Scale Current

1 Month Ago

2 Month Ago

3 Month Ago

(1) BUY 0 0 0 0
(2) OUTPERFORM 0 0 0 0
(3) HOLD 3 3 4 3
(4) UNDERPERFORM 0 0 0 1
(5) SELL 0 0 1 1
No Opinion 0 0 0 0
Mean Rating 3.00 3.00 3.40 3.60

Source: Reuters.com

Consensus Estimate Analysis
Sales (in millions)

# of Estimates

Mean

High

Low

1 Year Ago

Quarter Ending Dec-09

3

31.07

31.60

30.70

Quarter Ending Mar-10

1

33.20

33.20

33.20

Year Ending Dec-09

3

119.13

120.30

118.00

119.26

Year Ending Dec-10

3

141.63

146.00

136.60

178.97

Earnings ( per share)
Quarter Ending Dec-09

3

-0.05

-0.03

-0.08

-0.43

Quarter Ending Mar-10

1

0.02

0.02

0.02

Year Ending Dec-09

2

-0.53

-0.52

-0.54

-3.52

Year Ending Dec-10

3

0.07

0.08

0.06

-1.92

Source: Reuters.com

Historical Surprises

Estimates vs Actual

Estimates

Actual

Difference

Surprise %

SALES (in millions)
Quarter Ending Jun-09

24.20

27.28

3.08

12.73

Quarter Ending Dec-08

22.40

22.08

0.32

1.45

Quarter Ending Dec-08

20.67

19.59

1.08

5.22

Quarter Ending Sept-08

20.05

17.75

2.30

11.49

Quarter Ending Jun-08

20.19

15.54

4.65

23.02

Earnings (per share)
Quarter Ending Jun-09

-0.32

-0.27

0.05

-16.92

Quarter Ending Mar-09

-0.75

-0.45

0.30

-40.00

Quarter Ending Dec-08

-1.08

-0.97

0.11

-9.77

Quarter Ending Sept-08

-1.29

-1.21

0.08

-5.91

Quarter Ending Jun-08

-1.78

-2.17

0.39

-21.68

Source: Reuters.com

Investment Highlights

The Company markets two drug therapies, Xyrem (sodium oxybate) and Luvox CR (fluvoxamine maleate), and develops one late-stage drug therapy, JZP-6 (sodium oxybate).

Xyrem (sodium oxybate) is approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for patients suffering from daytime sleepiness and cataplexy (sudden and transient episode of loss of muscle tone), both associated with narcolepsy-a condition characterized as an inability of the brain to regulate sleep-wake cycles.

Approximately 150,000 individuals in the United States are affected by narcolepsy, according to the National Institutes of Health (NIH). The Company markets Xyrem through a specialty sales force to neurologists, pulmonologists and psychiatrists.

Since acquiring the rights to Xyrem in June 2005, the Company has grown its sales force to promote the drug as well as licensed the commercialization of Xyrem internationally in 54 countries.

Luvox CR (fluvoxamine maleate) is the second drug therapy of the Company approved by the FDA in February of 2008 for the treatment of obsessive compulsive and social anxiety disorder. In March 2008, the Company began shipping Luvox Cr to wholesalers and initiated promotion of the drug through its specialty sales force the following month. Luvox is a formulated Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitor (SSRI) commonly used to treat obsessive compulsive and social disorders, which collectively affects approximately 17.5 million adults in the United States, according to the National Institute of Mental Health. The Company has exclusive rights to distribute the drug within the United States, while Solvay Pharmaceuticals Inc. (the company that sold the U.S. rights to JAZZ in January 2007) retains international rights.

JZP-6 (sodium oxybate)–the active ingredient in Xyrem–is in the process of FDA clinical trials for the treatment of fibromyalgia-a diagnosis characterized by generalized fatigue and muscle pain. Fibromyalgia afflicts approximately 3% of the U.S. adult population, or 6 million Americans (mostly females), according to the American College of Rheumatology.

JZP-6 is presently in phase III clinical trials, which revealed positive top-line results from two pivotal trials of randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled studies demonstrating efficacy to significantly relieve pain and fatigue. The Company intends to submit a new drug application (NDA) for JZP-6 by year end.

Currently, there is no effective treatment of fibromyalgia approved in the United States, Japan and Europe. According to the research firm, Datamonitor, the treatment of fibromyalgia is expected to reach approximately $1.7 billion in 2016.

Recent Company News

On October 14, the Company announced that it will present data relating to phase III pivotal clinical trials of JZP-6 in November at the US Psychiatric and Mental Health Congress in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Company intends to submit a NDA for JZP-6 with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by year end.

Technical Analysis

JAZZ trades below its 13-day moving average. This bearish sign is significant because the 13-day moving average is negatively sloped.

The MACD for JAZZ currently indicates a bearish signal. The MACD is below the signal line, a 9-day moving average. The MACD is below the critical level of 0, which implies that the underlying moving averages are trending lower. Overall, the chart is bearish.

Comparative Analysis

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

Oct-28-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Cephalon Inc.

CEPH

54.46

4,000

14.59

8.56

1.90

n/a

GlaxoSmithKline plc.

GSK

40.70

114,130

13.80

10.13

2.66

n/a

Pfizer Inc.

PFE

17.20

115,550

14.22

7.68

2.52

n/a

Biotechnology Median

14.66

n/a

8.97

n/a

Jazz Pharmaceuticals

JAZZ

6.03

213.39

n/a

98.43

2.21

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARES PURCHSE ACTIVITY

Inside Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Transaction

Purchases

150,000

1

Sales

3,500

1

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

146,500

2

Total Insider Shares Held

21.00M

n/a

% Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

0.7%

n/a

Net Institutional Purchases – Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr

Shares

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

(207,964)

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

(3.1%)

Report Disclaimer

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