Technical Trading Overview for Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)

Las Vegas Sands Corp. (NYSE: LVS)

Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) operates casino properties in the United States and Macau, China. The U.S. properties include The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino and the Sands Casino Resort Bethlehem. The Macao properties include Sands Macao, The Venetian Macao Resort Hotel, and The Four Seasons Hotel Macao.

Founded in 1988, the Company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Share Statistics

(Sept-09-09)

2007

2008

%

Chg

Q2 2008

Q2 2009

% Chg

Symbol

LVS

Revenue, $Mn

2,950.6

4,389.9

48.78%

1,112.1

1,058.7

-4.80%

Current price

$16.84

Gross marg.

40.83%

36.9%

34.57%

38.9%

22.9%

-44%

52wk Range:

$0.00 -46.87

Oper. margin

10.82%

3.52%

-51.61%

6.6%

-16.2%

-334%

Avg Vol (3m):

37,200,400

Net margin

3.96%

-3.73%

-240%

-0.8%

-16.6%

1.9k%

Market Cap.

11.12B

Dil. Shares Outst.

658.88M

EPS, $

0.356

-0.391

-210%

-0.021

-0.184

776%


Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Financial Summary

Financial Strength (09-Sept-09)

Company

Industry

Sector

S&P 500

Quick Ratio (MRQ)

1.95

4.45

0.74

0.76

Current Ratio (MRQ)

1.97

4.73

0.96

0.91

Long-Term Debt to Equity (MRQ)

236.44

8.83

29.71

150.57

Total Debt to Equity (MRQ)

239.58

9.67

53.83

235.37

Interest Coverage (TTM)

0.89

0.17

0.45

24.25

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Analyst Consensus


The mean of 16 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters rate shares of EXEL a “Hold.” The details of the analysts polled are as follows:

Analyst Recommendations and Revisions

1-5 Linear Scale

Current

1 Month
Ago

2 Month
Ago

3 Month
Ago

(1) BUY

3

3

1

1

(2) OUTPERFORM

1

1

1

1

(3) HOLD

10

9

10

10

(4) UNDERPERFORM

0

1

1

1

(5) SELL

1

1

0

0

No Opinion

1

1

1

1

Mean Rating

2.67

2.73

2.85

2.85

Source: Reuters.com

Investment Highlights

Market Overview

The resort and casino industry is beset with several problematic issues, all affecting its bottom line and hopes of growth in both the short term and intermediate term due to severely receding economic activity and potential for the outbreak of pandemic virus. For the foreseeable future, the industry is expected to shrink in revenue, with consolidations, downsizing, mergers and acquisitions, and deleveraging expected to be consistent in duration with overall slumping economic activity.

The U.S. economy remains the key factor of the resort and casino industry outlook. While the economic statistics such as GDP, employment, consumer spending, real estate purchases and industrial production appear to be slowing in their respective declines, the overall economy is still softening. Consumer spending was encouraged by high asset prices in the real estate and equities markets, which have recently shown only marginal improvements in the case of the equities markets but still show deteriorating asset values in the residential and commercial real estate markets.

Fossil fuels prices and the potential for the spread of the H1N1 virus are two other critical factors of the industry. After reaching $147 per barrel of oil in late June of 2008, then dropping to $35 per barrel in December, oil has since recovered to $70 per barrel. Fossil fuels analysts cite the plunge in oil to the liquidation of contracts by hedge funds during the credit and liquidity crisis, which began in earnest in September of 2008. As the global economy stabilizes, the oil price is expected to firm, according to the Energy Information Administration, as hedge funds and institutions redeploy investment capital into emerging markets, new technologies and commodities. Levels of air travel and available discretionary spending are severely affected by the cost of energy, especially in the airline, travel, leisure and resorts industries.
The fear surrounding the H1N1 virus, stemming from its observed ability to spread during the hot summer months, is expected to continue to weigh on the resort and casino industry as more and more consumers delay or cancel plans for travel. Speculation of the virus’ ability to spread during more conducive conditions of the “flu season” has alarmed some scientists to this virus’ potential for mass infection. The United States government has given indications of taking the spread of H1N1 very seriously through continuously elevated budgets focused on contracting private industry research and development initiatives for fighting the strain, since last spring.

Company

For at least four quarters, LVS has embarked on a cost-cutting and efficiency measures in an effort to right-size its casinos in Las Vegas and Macao in response to declining revenue from all segments of its business. The Company has increased its cost-cutting goal to more than $500 million in annually savings. In the Company’s latest conference call, management intends to seek further efficiency measures and cuts beyond the $500 million goal set earlier in the year. As of the second quarter close of 2009 ended June 30, the Company has achieved the elimination of $345 million in operating costs, or 69%, toward its $500 million goal.

The Company’s plan to complete development at its Singapore and Bethlehem properties is on schedule. The Bethlehem property successfully opened on May 22, and the Singapore property development and pre-opening activities are still on target for the grand opening anticipated during the first quarter of 2010.

Efforts to improve liquidity at the Company have shown improvement, as management renegotiates its loans and focuses on delivering higher adjusted EBITDA from more profitable revenue streams.

In the latest quarter, the Company’s Las Vegas properties delivered EBITDA of $78 million in the second quarter, down from $107 million for the same quarter last year. The decline in revenue was attributed to lower hotel revenue, which was primarily due to reductions in rates in the upper-end market at its Las Vegas and Macao properties.

The Company’s strategy is to maintain healthy occupancy rates at its hotels, focusing on the less rate-sensitive end of the market such as midweek corporate and group meeting revenue, as well as favoring its high-end, high-margin baccarat business. Overall table-drop totaled $386 million for the second quarter, down 5.4% from $408 million posted for the equivalent quarter last year. Slots revenue reached $48.2 million, down 4% from the same period last year.

Overall, the Company is in a defensive posture, striving for profitability from rightsizing and cost-cutting tactics, and not from top-line revenue growth. Its Macao operation is expected to deliver better results in the longer term due to its Asia location and the outlook for the economies of the East. The Las Vegas operations, on the other hand, appear to be less clear until evidence of private investment in the U.S. economy replaces record public investment, which is presently slowing the decline in consumer credit and spending.

Technical Analysis

lvs

Source: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=exel

LVS trades above its 13-day moving average. This bullish sign is significant because the moving average are positively trending.

The MACD for LVS currently indicates a bullish signal. The MACD is above the signal line, a 9-day moving average of the MACD. The MACD is also above the critical level of 0, which implies the past price action had been positive. Overall, the chart is bullish.

Comparative Analysis

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

Sept-09-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Boyd Gaming Corp.

BYD

9.65

830.92

n/a

17.55

0.49

n/a

Harrah’s Entertainment Inc.

Pvt.

MGM Mirage

MGM

10.09

4,450

n/a

n/a

0.69

n/a

Industry Median

15.61

n/a

1.14

n/a

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

LVS

16.84

11,120

n/a

64.77

2.56

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARE PURCHASE ACTIVITY

Insider Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Trans

Purchases

12,566,700

2

Sales

n/a

0

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

12,566,700

2

Total Insider Shares Held

345.20M

n/a

% Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

3.80%

n/a

Net Institutional Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Net Shares Purchases (Sold)

(51,739,600)

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

(29.7%)

Data provided by Thomson Financial

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