Technical Trading Overview for Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC)

Uranium Energy Corp. (AMEX: UEC)

Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) engages in the exploration and development of uranium projects in the United States.  The Company intends to enter production using state-of-the-art, efficient and cost-effective methods.  The Company is focused on its Goliad ISR Uranium Project in South Texas and is in the process of finalizing the mine permitting of the Goliad ISR Uranium Project for Production Area 1. 

Founded in 2003, the Company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Share Statistics

(11-Sept-09)

2007

2008

%

Chg

Q2 2008

Q2 2009

% Chg

Symbol

UEC

Revenue, $Mn

0.0

0.0

n/a

0.0

0.0

n/a

Current price

$2.88

Gross marg.

n/a

n/a

180%

n/a

n/a

-44.4%

52wk Range:

$0.16– 3.45

Oper. margin

n/a

n/a

124%

n/a

n/a

-41.0%

Avg Vol (3m):

352,637

Net margin

n/a

n/a

140%

n/a

n/a

-41.0%

Market Cap.

134.31M

Dil. Shares Outst.

46.45M

EPS, $

-0.220

-0.484

120%

-0.155

-0.053

-65.81%

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Financial Summary

Financial Strength (11-Sept-09)

Company

Industry

Sector

S&P 500

Quick Ratio (MRQ)

10.49

2.78

1.12

0.78

Current Ratio (MRQ)

10.49

3.62

1.76

0.91

Long-Term Debt to Equity (MRQ)

0.00

38.79

28.46

150.35

Total Debt to Equity (MRQ)

0.00

74.38

45.96

234.14

Interest Coverage (TTM)

1.12

0.06

24.20


Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Analyst Consensus

SALES (in millions)

# of Estimates

Mean

High

Low

1 Year Ago

Year Ending Jul-09

1

0.05

0.05

0.05

48.30

Year Ending Jul-10

3

32.26

41.20

16.27

71.30

Earnings (per share)

Quarter Ending Oct-09

1

-0.03

-0.03

-0.03

Quarter Ending Jan-10

1

-0.03

-0.03

-0.03

Year Ending Jul-09

5

-0.23

-0.21

-0.25

0.00

Year Ending Jul-10

4

-0.15

-0.03

-0.24

0.28

Source: Reuters.com

Investment Highlights

Overview

UEC engages in the exploration and development of uranium projects in the United States.  The Company intends to enter production using state-of-the-art, efficient and cost-effective methods.  The Company is focused on its Goliad ISR Uranium Project in South Texas and is in the process of finalizing the mine permitting of the Goliad ISR Uranium Project for Production Area 1.

Market


Demand for uranium was driven by the defense industry in the
United States and the USSR during the cold war, with both countries amassing nuclear warheads by the tens of thousands.  The subsequent fall of the USSR, nuclear weapons reductions treaties, the Three Mile Island scare, and the Chernobyl disaster created a massive drop in demand for uranium and a plunging price of the commodity to $6.50 per pound in the 1990s.

However, beginning in 2003, the price of uranium soared nearly 21 times in price to a record $136 per pound in June of 2007.  The price steadily dropped due to technically overbought conditions during the summer of 2007, and continued its sell-off following the Bear Sterns collapse and subsequent worldwide credit crisis.

In March of 2009, the price of uranium reached a multi-year low of $40, but since has rallied along with other commodities to reach $54 in June of 2009.  As of September 11, the price of uranium has since pulled back from the June high to trade at $45.

The “green” movement has influenced policymakers to look to nuclear energy as an alternative to burning fossil fuels.  But more importantly, the growing concerns surrounding evidence of peak oil production has substantially increased demand from China, which plans to build 30 nuclear facilities by 2020 in anticipation of short supplies of crude and other fossil fuels, worldwide. China is expected to allocate $50 billion to build its nuclear plants, with estimates that 40 gigawatts of electricity production will be available to facilitate its continued rapid economic growth.

The Iranian controversy, notwithstanding, the nations of the Middle East have announced their plans for nuclear power plants, as well.  Nations of the Gulf Cooperation Council have been negotiating with companies from the United States, France , Britain and Russia to build nuclear power facilities. Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Morocco, Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain, Libya, Jordan, Egypt and Tunisia have all expressed interest in the development of nuclear power.  Because of security issues forwarded by Israel, some of these countries may have difficulty developing nuclear power sponsored by the West.  However, the Middle East region is expected to be a large source of growing demand for uranium.

Last year, Saudi Arabia and the UAE signed agreements for nuclear technology from the United States. France has signed cooperative agreements with the UAE, last May, and pledged to aid Morocco and Qatar in the pursuit of nuclear power programs of their own.

France opened its first military base in the UAE, and has aggressively lobbied to secure a $40 billion deal for as many as six nuclear reactors with the third-largest oil producer in the region.

Since 2003, the uranium sector has grown faster than any other mining sector, but has received little mainstream media attention.  This may change as escalating fossil fuels prices return to challenge all-time highs.

In the short-term, however, supply appears to be running ahead of demand.  The World Nuclear Association said supplies of uranium will exceed consumption by 3,012 metric tons next year, compared with a shortage supplies totaling 2,029 tons this year.  Many uranium analysts expect higher prices in the long-term from strong demand and struggling supplies.

Company News

On September 1, UEC announced that the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality has issued initial draft permits for two disposal wells at the Company’s Goliad ISR uranium project in South Texas.

Technical Analysis

uec

Source: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=uec

UEC trades above its 13-day moving average. This bullish sign is significant because the moving average is also positively trending.

The MACD for UEC currently indicates a bullish signal.  The MACD is above the signal line, a 9-day moving average; and the MACD is also above the critical level of 0, which implies that the underlying moving averages are trending higher.  Overall, the graph is bullish.

Comparative Analysis

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

11-Sept-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Anglo-Canadian Uranium Corp.

Pvt.

Denison Mines Corp.

DNN

1.52

516.37

n/a

n/a

4.75

n/a

X-Terra Resources Corp.

Pvt.

n/a

Industry Median

14.95

n/a

2.39

n/a

Uranium Energy Corp.

UEC

2.88

134.31

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARE PURCHASE ACTIVITY

Insider Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Trans

Purchases

n/a

0

Sales

n/a

0

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

n/a

0

Total Insider Shares Held

5.04M

n/a

% Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

0.0%

n/a

Net Institutional Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Net Shares Purchases (Sold)

309,561

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

3.1%

Data provided by Thomson Financial

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