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Trading Outlook for Palm Inc. (PALM)

Palm Incorporated (NASDAQ: PALM)

Palm Incorporated (PALM) develops, manufactures and markets mobile products to individuals and business worldwide. The Company’s products include Palm Pre, Treo, Centro and, now, Pizi smartphones, which provide multiple productivity tools and entertainment applications. It also provides an operating system called Palm Web OS, which includes software updates, back-up and storage of data as well as an applications catalog. Founded in 1992, the Company is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Share Statistics (13-Nov-09)

FY

2008

FY

2009

%

Chg

Q1 2009

Q1 2010

%

Chg

Symbol

PALM

Revenue, $Mn

1,318.8

735.9

-44.2%

366.9

68.0

-81.5%

Current price

$12.40

Gross marg.

30.5%

21.7%

-60.2%

26.5%

-4.1%

-103%

52wk Range:

$1.14-18.09

Oper. margin

-12.0%

-40.9%

90.1%

-10.0%

-190%

252%

Avg Vol (3m):

12,272,500

Net margin

-8.0%

-99.5%

595%

-10.8%

-237%

308%

Market Cap.

1.76B

Dil. Shares Outst.

141.0M

EPS, $

-0.660

-6.229

844%

-0.309

-1.119

262%

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Financial Summary

Financial Strength (13-Nov-2009) Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 0.58 2.40 1.73 0.83
Current Ratio (MRQ) 0.62 2.81 2.04 0.98
Long-Term Debt to Equity(MRQ) 22.67 18.56 131.02
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 37.88 28.81 202.20

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Analyst Consensus

The mean of 25 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters rate shares of PALM a “Hold.”

Analyst Recommendations and Revisions

1-5 Linear Scale Current

1 Month Ago

2 Month Ago

3 Month Ago

(1) BUY 3 2 2 2
(2) OUTPERFORM 3 3 4 5
(3) HOLD 13 14 12 12
(4) UNDERPERFORM 1 2 2 2
(5) SELL 5 4 4 4
No Opinion 0 0 0 0
Mean Rating 3.08 3.12 3.08 3.04

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Investment Highlights

The Company has focused on four strategic goals this year, including designing Palm Web OS products; offering Palm Web OS as a development platform; marketing the Palm brand to connect with other Palm products; and executing the strategy. The Company believes that if management executes these strategies well, it will grow its brand and subsequent products along more carriers and markets.

In the latest reporting quarter ended August 31, the Company introduced Palm Web OS operating system; activated a new cloud services infrastructure; and launched the Palm Pre. Management said in a September conference call that more products are in the pipeline along the lines of its Web OS devices.

During the latest quarter, the Company announced the $99 Palm Pixie, the follow-up product of the Web OC devices. Sprint, the Company’s carrier, offered the Palm Pre for $149.99 (after rebates) in late September. Palm Pre was also launched in Canada through Bell Mobility, and works with Telefonica in Europe to pre-market the Pre in the fall of 2009.

Following its first-quarter earnings report for the period ended August 31, management said in a conference call that it expects revenue for the second quarter to total less than revenue posted for the first quarter. Second-quarter revenue is anticipated to reach between $240 million and $270 million, and subsequent quarters should be stronger as the Company launches products with additional carriers later in 2009 and 2010. Revenue for fiscal 2010 is anticipated to reach between $1.6 million and $1.8 million, using cash during this time, but the Company expects revenue to bring it back to cash flow and earnings positive.

Latest Company News:

On October 28, rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) raised its credit rating for the Company’s senior debt issue to ‘CCC’ from ‘CCC-’, and removed the Company from the S&P CreditWatch, citing the Company’s success of its new product line and ability to regain a positive cash flow as a niche supplier.

On November 13, rumors circulated widely that the Company may be bought by Nokia Corporation (NYSE: NOK), but an undisclosed industry analyst told The Wall Street Journal that a takeover of the Company by NOK is unlikely due to Nokia’s recent launch of N900, which competes with the Company’s Pre and Pixi.

The Company’s is set to launch the Pixi, a smaller version of the Pre on November 15, and will sell for $99.

Option strategist Fredric Ruggy of WhatsTrading.com told Reuters that call volume surged approximately nine times its average volume to more than 80,000 contracts during the afternoon as the rumor picked up speed that the Company is in the cross-hairs as a Nokia takeover candidate.

Technical Analysis

PALM trades above its 13-day moving average. This bullish sign is less significant because the 13-day moving average is sloped downwardly.

The MACD for PALM currently indicates a bullish signal. The MACD is above the signal line, a 9-day moving average of the MACD. The MACD is below the critical level of 0, which implies the past price action had been positive. Overall, the chart is neutral, but short-term technicals are bullish.

Comparative Analysis

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

Nov-13-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Apple Incorporated

AAPL

204.45

184.14

32.51

21.73

4.98

n/a

Nokia Corporation

NOK

13.65

50,610

n/a

13.12

n/a

n/a

Research in Motion Limited

RIMM

62.69

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Personal Computers Median

0.94

n/a

3.73

n/a

Palm Incorporated

PALM

12.40

1,760

n/a

30.24

3.73

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARES PURCHSE ACTIVITY

Inside Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Transaction

Purchases

2,276,920

2

Sales

303,692

3

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

1,973,228

5

Total Insider Shares Held

34.21M

n/a

% Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

6.1%

n/a

Net Institutional Purchases – Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr

Shares

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

(5,889,600)

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

(5.1%)

Source: Yahoo Finance

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