Stock alerts gaining 71%, 83% and 351% - Free!

Trading Outlook for Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc. (QCOR)

Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOR)

Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc. (QCOR) markets H.P. Acthar Gel (repository corticotropin injection), an injectable drug that is approved for the treatment of certain disorders with an inflammatory component, including the treatment of exacerbations associated with multiple sclerosis (MS), and the treatment of nephrotic syndrome. H.P. Acthar Gel (Acthar) is not indicated for, but is also used in treating patients with infantile spasms (IS). The Company also markets Doral (quazepam), which is indicated for the treatment of insomnia characterized by difficulty in falling asleep, frequent nocturnal awakenings, and/or early morning awakenings. As of December 31, 2008, Acthar was approved in the United States for the treatment of exacerbations associated with MS, nephrotic syndrome and many other conditions with an inflammatory component.

Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Union City, California.

Share Statistics (18-Nov-09)

FY

2007

FY

2008

%

Chg

Q3 2008

Q3 2009

%

Chg

Symbol

QCOR

Revenue, $Mn

49.77M

95.25M

47.7%

24.20M

13.90M

42.6%

Current price

$4.09

Gross marg.

89.4%

92.3%

3.1%

92.1%

84.9%

7.8%

52wk Range:

$3.10-9.81

Oper. margin

43.3%

60.5%

28.4%

63.2%

12.9%

79.6%

Avg Vol (3m):

628,438

Net margin

75.5%

42.5%

43.7%

37.2%

8.6%

76.9%

Market Cap.

262.4M

Dil. Shares Outst.

64.2M

EPS, $

0.51

0.49

3.9%

0.13

0.02

84.6%

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.


Financial Summary

During the third quarter of 2009, QCOR shipped 1,354 vials of Acthar compared to 1,500 vials in the third quarter of 2008 and 1,564 vials in the second quarter of 2009. As a result of the reduction in vials shipped, gross sales were 10% lower in the third quarter of 2009 compared to the third quarter of 2008. There has been significant variability in prescription activity on a monthly basis in the use of Acthar in the treatment of IS due to the very small IS patient population. For each of the three months in the third quarter of 2009, the monthly usage of Acthar for IS was at the low end of its two-year historic monthly range. It is possible that a portion of the usage decline was related to a lower national birth rate this year and the greater use of alternative therapies for the treatment of IS.

Net sales totaled $13.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2009, compared to $24.2 million in the year earlier period. Net income for the third quarter of 2009 was $1.2 million, or $0.02 per diluted common share compared to $9.0 million, or $0.13 per diluted common share in the year earlier period.

Net sales totaled $62.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2009, compared with $68.2 million for the same period of 2008. Net income applicable to common shareholders for the first nine months of 2009 was $18.2 million, or $0.27 per diluted common share compared with net income applicable to common shareholders of $19.0 million, or $0.26 per diluted common share for the first nine months of 2008.

At October 30, 2009, QCOR’s cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled approximately $71 million, and accounts receivable totaled $11 million.

During the third quarter, the Company did not repurchase any shares of its common stock. Prior repurchase activities have expended $57.1 million for the repurchase of 12 million common and preferred shares since this program began in 2008.

Financial Strength (17-Nov-2009) Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 3.24 2.72 2.56 0.84
Current Ratio (MRQ) 3.36 3.19 3.05 0.99
Long-Term Debt to Equity(MRQ) 0.00 12.33 26.78 130.27
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 0.00 15.60 34.52 200.58

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Analyst Consensus

Buy

Outperform

Hold

Underperform

Sell

No Opinion

This is the consensus forecast amongst 2 polled investment analysts. Against the Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc company.

Analyst Detail

Buy

Outperform

Hold

Underperform

Sell

No Opinion

Latest

0

1

1

0

0

0

4 weeks ago

0

1

1

0

0

0

2 months ago

0

1

1

0

0

0

3 months ago

0

1

1

0

0

0

Last year

1

0

0

0

0

0

The one analyst offering a 12-month price target expects QCOR share price to rise to 9.00 in the next year from the last price of 4.22.

Source: www.ft.com

# of Estimates

Mean

High

Low

1 Year
Ago

SALES (in millions)

Quarter Ending Dec-09

2

21.56

22.70

20.42

26.10

Year Ending Dec-09

2

83.97

85.10

82.83

100.40

Year Ending Dec-10

2

95.90

110.80

81.01

116.40

Earnings (per share)

Quarter Ending Dec-09

2

0.09

0.10

0.08

0.13

Year Ending Dec-09

2

0.37

0.37

0.36

0.51

Year Ending Dec-10

2

0.44

0.56

0.31

0.61

LT Growth Rate (%)

2

23.50

31.00

16.00

Source: http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/estimates?symbol=QCOR.W

Investment Highlights

QCOR announced in late October that David Young, Pharm.D., Ph.D., currently a member of QCOR’s board of directors, has been appointed to the newly created position of chief scientific officer, and Sian E. Bigora, Pharm.D. has been appointed to the newly created position of vice president of Regulatory Affairs. Dr. Young (56) joins the Company from AGI Therapeutics plc where he served as executive director and president of U.S. Operations for the specialty pharmaceutical company since 2006. Dr. Bigora also joins QCOR from AGI Therapeutics where she served as vice president of Clinical Research and Regulatory Affairs since 2007. Both executives will be based in the Company’s new East Coast offices in Columbia, Maryland. Dr. Young will resign from QCOR’s board effective on his start date as an employee of the Company.

QCOR announced in mid October that it has resubmitted its filing to the U.S. Food & Drug Administration (FDA) for its supplemental New Drug Application (sNDA) seeking approval to market H.P. Acthar® Gel (repository corticotrophin injection) for the treatment of infantile spasms. The resubmission follows the FDA’s request in May 2009 for the filing to include additional statistical analysis relating to data from one secondary study within the Company’s filing. Acthar is currently approved in the U.S. for the treatment of MS exacerbations, nephrotic syndrome and many other conditions. Acthar is not approved in the U.S. for the treatment of IS, a potentially life-threatening disorder that typically begins in the first year of life. However, pursuant to guidelines published by the American Academy of Neurology and the Child Neurology Society, many child neurologists use Acthar to treat infants afflicted with this condition. QCOR is currently pursuing FDA approval for Acthar in the treatment of IS. Previously, the FDA granted Orphan Designation to Acthar for the treatment of IS.

Source: http://www.questcor.com/

Technical Analysis

QCOR is below its 50 day moving average. This bearish sign is even more significant because the moving average is also trending lower.

QCOR’s recent volatility has been greater than normal. This is evidenced by the increased distance between the upper and lower Bollinger Bands. These bands measure volatility using standard deviation and a large width is due to high volatility. Additionally, QCOR is trading within its Bollinger Bands. This is a normal condition and suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold relative to the recent price action.

QCOR’s MACD is currently indicating a weak bullish signal. Although the MACD is trending above the signal line, the indicator is still below 0, which suggests that the underlying moving averages are bearish.

Comparative Analysis

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

Nov-18-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Novartis AG

NVS

53.68

121.96B

16.08

n/a

2.87

n/a

Sanofi-Aventis

SNY

38.38

100.16B

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Life Technologies Corp.

LIFE

50.26

8.96B

1025.71

n/a

n/a

n/a

Drug Manufacturers Median

47.44

77.02B

520.89

n/a

n/a

n/a

Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc.

QCOR

4.09

262.4M

7.88

n/a

3.03

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARES PURCHSE ACTIVITY

Inside Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Transaction

Purchases

n/a

0

Sales

550,000

2

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

(550,000)

2

Total Insider Shares Held

16.18M

n/a

% Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

(3.3%)

n/a

Net Institutional Purchases – Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr

Shares

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

(19,008,200)

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

(70.8%)

Source: Yahoo Finance

DO NOT BASE ANY INVESTMENT DECISION UPON ANY MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS REPORT. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) or with any state securities regulatory authority. We are neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice.

The information contained in our report should be viewed as commercial advertisement and is not intended to be investment advice. The report is not provided to any particular individual with a view toward their individual circumstances. The information contained in our report is not an offer to buy or sell securities. We distribute opinions, comments and information free of charge exclusively to individuals who wish to receive them.

Our newsletter and website have been prepared for informational purposes only and are not intended to be used as a complete source of information on any particular company. An individual should never invest in the securities of any of the companies profiled based solely on information contained in our report. Individuals should assume that all information contained in the report about profiled companies is not trustworthy unless verified by their own independent research.

Any individual who chooses to invest in any securities should do so with caution. Investing in securities is speculative and carries a high degree of risk; you may lose some or all of the money that is invested. Always research your own investments and consult with a registered investment advisor or licensed stock broker before investing.

Information contained in our report will contain “forward looking statements” as defined under Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21B of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Subscribers are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon these forward looking statements. These forward looking statements are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties outside of our control that could cause actual operations or results to differ materially from those anticipated. Factors that could affect performance include, but are not limited to, those factors that are discussed in each profiled company’s most recent reports or registration statements filed with the SEC. You should consider these factors in evaluating the forward looking statements included in the report and not place undue reliance upon such statements.

We are committed to providing factual information on the companies that are profiled. However, we do not provide any assurance as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, including information regarding a profiled company’s plans or ability to effect any planned or proposed actions. We have no first-hand knowledge of any profiled company’s operations and therefore cannot comment on their capabilities, intent, resources, nor experience and we make no attempt to do so. Statistical information, dollar amounts, and market size data was provided by the subject company and related sources which we believe to be reliable.

To the fullest extent of the law, we will not be liable to any person or entity for the quality, accuracy, completeness, reliability, or timeliness of the information provided in the report, or for any direct, indirect, consequential, incidental, special or punitive damages that may arise out of the use of information we provide to any person or entity (including, but not limited to, lost profits, loss of opportunities, trading losses, and damages that may result from any inaccuracy or incompleteness of this information).

We encourage you to invest carefully and read investment information available at the websites of the SEC at http://www.sec.gov and FINRA at http://www.finra.org.

Add Your Comment

Copyright Beacon Equity @ 2010

Google Analytics Alternative Clicky

close this